Abstract:
Investigating the econ
omic burden of the seasonal influenza is highly
essential due to the large number of outbreaks in recent years. In this study,
we only consider expenditure due to medical care. Classical SIS
(susceptible, infected, susceptible) model is used to capture the dynamics of
spread of influenza. Considering the potentiality of the movement from
susceptible class to infected class and infected class to susceptible class, the
dynamics model is constructed. Including insurance based computation and
actuarial techniqu es average economic burden is computed by considering
unit future medical care expenditure. Simulation is carried out to
demonstrate the variation of the present economic burden with respect to
contact rate. Seasonal variation can be captured via contact r ate and the
proposed model provides theoretical background to investigate the
economic burden of seasonal influenza.